© Ella Ling

AMA_AUSOPEN2013_LING_016

Would Murray have won a slam if Nadal had been fit?

   

Thinking about Andy Murray’s rise to grand slam champion the other day, it struck me that the Scot owes a thank you to Rafael Nadal for the part he played. Or rather the part he didn’t play, due to his absence through injury.

Now of course Murray already had Nadal to thank for convincing him he needed to move abroad when he was a teenager. Seeing the young Spaniard hitting with Carlos Moya, a grand slam winner and former world No 1 made Murray think that he was hard done-by having to hit with just his brother Jamie in Scotland. So Murray moved to Barcelona and so the transformation began. But more than that, perhaps Murray owes Nadal an extra thank you, for not being around to spoil his chances of winning that, until New York, elusive first grand slam title.

Now I am not for one minute suggesting that Murray did not deserve his victory in New York. Of course he did, and having also won the Olympics, he was a rightful and worthy champion. But if they are truthful, then many people might just have been asking themselves; would Murray have won if Rafa had been around?

The question might be irrelevant but it is not frivolous, not when you look at what’s happened between the two in grand slam events. While Murray beat Nadal in the semi-finals of the US Open in 2008 and again in the quarter-finals of the Australian Open in 2010, there were mitigating factors in both those results. Murray played fantastically well in New York but by that time, on his most troublesome surface, Nadal had played himself into the ground after his French Open, Wimbledon and Olympic triumphs and was physically and mentally spent. In Australia in 2010, though Murray was again playing superbly, the Spaniard’s knees gave out and he had to quit, a rare sight.

Since then, Nadal has won four grand slam semi-final meetings in a row against Murray, twice denying him a place in the Wimbledon final and once each in Paris and New York. He also beat him in the semi-finals of the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals in 2010. Murray has improved since then, and a lot in the past 12 months, but who knows, perhaps even the mere fact that Nadal was not around at the Olympics or in New York may have made Murray slightly more confident, one less great player to beat to achieve his dreams.

Now that Nadal has dropped to fourth in the rankings, behind Murray, the two men would not have been able to meet in Melbourne until the final, so it’s a bit of a moot point. But when the Spaniard returns, the fact that he has won all those big matches against Murray could be a serious factor when the two square up once more. Let’s hope it’s sooner rather than later.

   
  • YouCannotBeSerious

    This is really pointless. Even if Nadal had been fit, they might not have been drawn in the same half. Should he also thank Berdych for knocking out Federer? You can only play who’s in front of you and Nadal, Federer and Djokovic defeated weaker opponents to win their first slams.

    • Maria

      Nadal defeated Federer in his first FO semi final. The weaker opponent?

  • Macfie

    I think the psychological factor does come into play and not having Nadal in the draw will have had an impact, however small. However in nadal and murray’s last match at the Tokyo atp event 2011, nadal only won four points in the last set, which Murray took 6-0. An incredibly impressive set, so one would also imagine that a players last meeting also comes into the psychology too.

  • PointlessTediousNavelGazing

    The author has obviously been affected by the hot Melbourne sun, mad dogs and Englishmen…..

  • Arthur

    This is puerile observation. Murray won his titles in style , against higher ranked players than Nadal, at the time. Murray has always given full credit to his contemporaries, and has publicly stated that he is fortunate to be playing at a time when 3 of the greatest of all time are . You might as well speculate how well he might have done in an earlier era?
    No , Murray recognises himself as the junior partner in the strongest quartet ever to play in the same decade, but he is now, I think, possibly about to REALLY GATECRASH that triumvirate. Enjoy him as he is, he may prove to be an all time great, not just a British great.

  • scotty

    the real question he should be asking is this , if nadal had been fit would he have got past the 2nd round ? probably not so it makes this piece of writing irrelevent

  • Silver.

    So naturally, Murray was on par in all of his matches against Nadal? Maybe Rafa should send him a few ‘thank you’ notes as well.

  • Jared McGinty

    Is Nadal always injured when Murray beats him? stop making excuses. This is what I hate about Nadal fans, they make excuse after excuse for every loss. Without fail. Enjoy the moonballer being on the shelf where he belongs.

  • pggtips2

    As if the English press hadn’t given Andy Murray enough hassle over the years, going completely over the top about a joke in an orchestrated way, here’s another attempt to denigrate Andy’s achievements right on the eve of a grand slam. Poor show.

    He became successful in spite of the LTAs efforts and now he’s showing British Tennis in a great light despite the best attempts of British journalists to dampen any benefits that may arise.

    There hasn’t been the hint of an apology over the years for the appalling journalism that Andy and his Mum have had to face nor do I ever expect there to be one even if Andy becomes Sir Andrew and Judy becomes a Dame (which actually should have happened already) as she is as worthy of the gong as Dave Brailsford who is similarly excellent at his job.

  • Tennis fan 1978

    Murray has beaten Nadal before and is a much better hard court player. This article is indeed pointless and pines for Nadal in such a way that it puts fact before puppy love. Nadal will have to beat Murray now – and it is not going to easy to do.

  • Maria

    No. Obviously not. But then Federer would not have won Wimbledon either and I have doubts over Djoko winning in Australia seeing as Nadal was winning regularly against him in 2012 before his injury. As a Murray fan it doesn’t matter. You take your wins where you get them. Fed fans are happy enough he finally won the French Open without beating Rafa. A win is a win.